Saturday, July 12, 2008

Saturday Afternoon Map Discussion

The two H's have dominated the weather here in the Mid-South lately. HOT and HUMID. Dewpoints in the low to mid 70s are putting the heat index in the 100-105 range for today. Having been outside today, I can tell you it is definitely humid. That humidity will lead to rainfall as we head overnight and into tomorrow.

NAM1

Above is the 12z NAM model valid at 10am, and it clearly shows the cold front moving through the region. Expect some heavy rainfall out of this frontal passage - on the order of one half to one and a half inches. Much drier air will push into the area, and overnight lows at the beginning of the week may dip down into the upper 50s in some locations. The humidity will slowly creep back up throughout the week, so the air will feel more and more sticky as the week goes on.

That's all for now. Crystal ball discussion later.

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